Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 80.2%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 74.8%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 79.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Wennberg
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Wennberg
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
55.7% (856)
-10.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
57.5% (233)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
50.0% (144)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Wennberg
O'Reilly
Home
47.0% (621)
55.5% (616)
Away
44.7% (635)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Wennberg
O'Reilly
P1
44.7%
58.1%
P2
46.1%
54.9%
P3
47.2%
53.9%
OT
36.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |