Alexander Wennberg vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Aho 50.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 57.9%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 81.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 66.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Wennberg
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wennberg
Aho
Last 6: Wennberg 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Wennberg
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Wennberg
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
50.5% (878)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
53.5% (144)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
44.3% (61)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Aho
Home
47.0% (621)
53.8% (571)
Away
44.7% (635)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Wennberg
Aho
P1
44.7%
49.0%
P2
46.1%
51.7%
P3
47.2%
50.3%
OT
36.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |