Alexander Wennberg vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Zegras 37.0% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 58.3%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 93.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 83.4%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Wennberg
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wennberg
Zegras
Last 5: Wennberg 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
33.0% (264)
+12.7%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
32.1% (56)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
50.0% (2)
-13.7%
On power play, Wennberg has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Zegras
Home
47.0% (621)
35.3% (173)
Away
44.7% (635)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Wennberg
Zegras
P1
44.7%
33.0%
P2
46.1%
35.7%
P3
47.2%
29.7%
OT
36.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |