Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Jost 44.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 51.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 60.5%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 54.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Wennberg
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wennberg
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Wennberg
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
39.5% (86)
+6.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
0.0% (1)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
42.9% (7)
-6.6%
On power play, Wennberg has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Jost
Home
47.0% (621)
38.9% (54)
Away
44.7% (635)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Wennberg
Jost
P1
44.7%
42.4%
P2
46.1%
37.8%
P3
47.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |