Alexis Lafrenière vs Clayton Keller
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Clayton Keller holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Keller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.0% vs Keller 46.6% (-9.9%)
Offensive zone
Keller 55.2%
Defensive zone
Keller 51.9%
Neutral zone
Keller 50.6%
Result
Clayton Keller favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Lafrenière
Keller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Keller
Edge
Even Strength
27.3% (33)
37.9% (29)
-10.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On power play, Keller has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Keller shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Keller is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Keller
Home
6.7% (15)
43.8% (16)
Away
42.1% (19)
29.4% (17)
By Period
Lafrenière
Keller
P1
30.0%
30.8%
P2
14.3%
50.0%
P3
28.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
26.5%
Keller
36.0%▼
39.5%
36.4%