Alexis Lafrenière vs Jack Hughes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 36.5% vs Hughes 36.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 51.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 70.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Lafrenière
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lafrenière
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafrenière
1
0
Lafrenière
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lafrenière
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
32.1% (265)
36.0% (2,926)
-3.9%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
38.8% (224)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
31.0% (42)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lafrenière is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Lafrenière shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Hughes
Home
32.3% (130)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
31.7% (164)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Lafrenière
Hughes
P1
27.9%
36.9%
P2
34.9%
33.4%
P3
33.3%
38.2%
Final 5 min
31.0%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
32.0%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Alexis Lafrenière |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Alexis Lafrenière |