Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.0% vs Hughes 39.5% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.8%
Defensive zone
Lafrenière 51.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lafrenière
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
27.3% (33)
36.7% (305)
-9.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
14.3% (7)
-14.3%
On power play, Hughes has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Hughes
Home
6.7% (15)
35.8% (159)
Away
42.1% (19)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Lafrenière
Hughes
P1
30.0%
42.3%
P2
14.3%
28.2%
P3
28.6%
37.2%
Final 5 min
25.0%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
26.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%