Alexis Lafrenière vs Joel Farabee

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joel Farabee holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 32.1% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lafrenière 44.0% vs Farabee 47.7% (-16.6%)
Offensive zone Farabee 55.5%
Defensive zone Farabee 51.5%
Neutral zone Farabee 50.8%
Result Joel Farabee favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Lafrenière Farabee
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lafrenière
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
27.3% (33)
43.2% (37)
-15.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On power play, Farabee has a +50.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Lafrenière is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lafrenière shoots left. Farabee is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Farabee
Home
6.7% (15)
38.1% (21)
Away
42.1% (19)
46.7% (30)
By Period
Lafrenière
Farabee
P1
30.0%
56.5%
P2
14.3%
43.8%
P3
28.6%
16.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%
29.5%
26.5%
Farabee
42.0%
38.5%
43.1%