Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 51.9% vs Lazar 58.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 85.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 87.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lee
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lee
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Lee
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (71)
63.5% (181)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (44)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.3% (71)
+43.7%
On power play, Lee has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Lee is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Lee shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Lee
Lazar
Home
56.9% (51)
63.0% (135)
Away
50.8% (65)
59.3% (118)
By Period
Lee
Lazar
P1
60.0%
64.6%
P2
48.1%
60.0%
P3
55.6%
59.3%
Final 5 min
71.4%
67.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.4%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Anders Lee |