Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lee on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Lee wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 48.3% vs Larkin 52.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Lee leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lee 54.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 94.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lee
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lee
Larkin
Last 10: Lee 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
9
1
Lee
Larkin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
4
Lee
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (638)
51.6% (9,056)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.8% (256)
58.6% (2,140)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
50.2% (1,124)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lee is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lee shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Lee
Larkin
Home
50.5% (430)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
46.0% (472)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Lee
Larkin
P1
46.1%
52.7%
P2
48.6%
53.1%
P3
49.6%
52.0%
OT
55.6%
58.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.1%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 4, 2021 | OT | 00:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Anders Lee |