Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 51.9% vs Evans 55.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 91.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.3%
Neutral zone
Lee 53.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 85.3%
14.7%
85.3%
Lee
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lee
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Lee
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (71)
55.6% (522)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (44)
72.7% (11)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
55.2% (210)
+44.8%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lee is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Lee shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Lee
Evans
Home
56.9% (51)
54.7% (402)
Away
50.8% (65)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Lee
Evans
P1
60.0%
57.9%
P2
48.1%
55.2%
P3
55.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
71.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.4%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |