Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 51.9% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 75.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 63.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Lee
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lee
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (71)
57.1% (368)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (44)
55.2% (96)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (10)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lee is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Lee shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Lee
Stamkos
Home
56.9% (51)
53.9% (230)
Away
50.8% (65)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Lee
Stamkos
P1
60.0%
56.7%
P2
48.1%
54.1%
P3
55.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
71.4%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.4%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Anders Lee |