Andreas Athanasiou vs Brock Nelson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Athanasiou on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Athanasiou wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 44.4% vs Nelson 48.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Athanasiou leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 77.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Athanasiou
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Athanasiou
Nelson
Last 10: Athanasiou 5-5 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Athanasiou
2
1
Athanasiou
Nelson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Athanasiou
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Athanasiou
4
3
Athanasiou
Nelson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,255)
47.9% (9,744)
-4.2%
Power Play
47.6% (105)
54.7% (1,149)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
43.8% (790)
-3.1%
On power play, Nelson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Athanasiou is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Athanasiou shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Nelson
Home
45.1% (687)
50.1% (5,878)
Away
42.9% (700)
46.5% (5,806)
By Period
Athanasiou
Nelson
P1
45.9%
48.7%
P2
45.2%
48.6%
P3
40.2%
47.7%
OT
55.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
44.0%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |