Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Loktionov wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Loktionov 89.3%
Defensive zone
Loktionov 60.0%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 75.6%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Loktionov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Loktionov
Eller
Last 10: Loktionov 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Loktionov
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Loktionov
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Loktionov
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (712)
51.1% (10,321)
-10.1%
Power Play
46.6% (58)
52.8% (621)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
46.6% (1,759)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Loktionov is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Loktionov shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Eller
Home
41.9% (358)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
40.6% (421)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Loktionov
Eller
P1
43.3%
51.2%
P2
37.8%
50.1%
P3
42.6%
50.2%
OT
25.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.2%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2013 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |