Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Agozzino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Agozzino 49.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Agozzino 73.2%
Defensive zone
Agozzino 54.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.5%
Result
Andrew Agozzino favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Agozzino
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Agozzino
Dowd
Last 8: Agozzino 4-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Agozzino
2
1
Agozzino
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Agozzino
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Agozzino
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Agozzino
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (193)
52.3% (6,036)
-4.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
56.1% (164)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.1% (1,638)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Agozzino is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Agozzino shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Agozzino
Dowd
Home
51.5% (103)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
46.0% (100)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Agozzino
Dowd
P1
42.9%
51.5%
P2
48.5%
50.4%
P3
55.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Agozzino
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Andrew Agozzino |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Andrew Agozzino |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Andrew Agozzino |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Andrew Agozzino |