Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 48.8% vs Duchene 52.1% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.7%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 75.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Cogliano
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (41)
53.9% (193)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
100.0% (1)
-51.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cogliano is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Cogliano shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Duchene
Home
50.0% (34)
54.9% (113)
Away
44.4% (36)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Cogliano
Duchene
P1
48.0%
54.9%
P2
51.7%
52.7%
P3
37.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
47.1%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.9%