Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 48.8% vs Stastny 56.3% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.9%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 61.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Cogliano
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (41)
57.5% (412)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.4% (9)
+3.9%
On even strength, Stastny has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cogliano is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Cogliano shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Stastny
Home
50.0% (34)
58.3% (276)
Away
44.4% (36)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Cogliano
Stastny
P1
48.0%
63.7%
P2
51.7%
57.3%
P3
37.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
47.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%