Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Cogliano wins 30.6% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 39.5% vs Motte 50.2% (-17.2%)
Offensive zone
Motte 71.6%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 71.9%
Neutral zone
Motte 53.5%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Cogliano
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
35.8% (53)
49.7% (149)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (110)
60.0% (5)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Motte has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Cogliano is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Cogliano shoots left. Motte is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Motte
Home
40.9% (88)
49.4% (89)
Away
24.0% (75)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Cogliano
Motte
P1
38.2%
51.7%
P2
28.6%
50.0%
P3
34.2%
48.8%
Final 5 min
40.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
33.1%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%