Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Cirelli 48.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 66.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 60.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Copp
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Copp
Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
2
Copp
Cirelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Copp
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
50.1% (668)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
68.9% (90)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
36.7% (221)
+9.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Copp
Cirelli
Home
54.4% (441)
53.0% (470)
Away
53.4% (421)
45.0% (509)
By Period
Copp
Cirelli
P1
52.0%
50.6%
P2
55.8%
49.2%
P3
54.2%
47.2%
OT
20.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
60.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |