Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Backes 50.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 53.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 55.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Copp
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Copp
Backes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Backes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
51.1% (5,772)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
50.8% (1,082)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
47.4% (930)
-2.1%
On power play, Copp has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Copp is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,479).
Copp shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Copp
Backes
Home
52.7% (3,561)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Copp
Backes
P1
52.9%
50.1%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
51.4%
50.8%
OT
39.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |