Andrew Copp vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Pageau 59.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 73.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Copp
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Pageau
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Copp
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
59.4% (726)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
69.0% (42)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
59.7% (221)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Copp
Pageau
Home
54.4% (441)
58.4% (430)
Away
53.4% (421)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Copp
Pageau
P1
52.0%
55.4%
P2
55.8%
61.8%
P3
54.2%
61.5%
OT
20.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |