Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 58.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 58.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Copp
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Copp
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Copp
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Copp
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
56.2% (989)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
66.0% (159)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
42.7% (253)
+3.1%
On power play, Staal has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Copp
Staal
Home
54.4% (441)
55.4% (699)
Away
53.4% (421)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Copp
Staal
P1
52.0%
55.7%
P2
55.8%
54.7%
P3
54.2%
53.4%
OT
20.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |