Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Eller 55.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 67.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 50.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Copp
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Copp
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
56.0% (459)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
77.8% (9)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
51.9% (54)
-6.1%
On power play, Eller has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Copp
Eller
Home
54.4% (441)
52.6% (215)
Away
53.4% (421)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Copp
Eller
P1
52.0%
54.1%
P2
55.8%
57.6%
P3
54.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
60.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |