Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Duchene 51.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 64.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 60.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Copp
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
51.1% (366)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
61.5% (65)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
16.7% (6)
+29.1%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Copp
Duchene
Home
54.4% (441)
51.7% (201)
Away
53.4% (421)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Copp
Duchene
P1
52.0%
49.0%
P2
55.8%
57.1%
P3
54.2%
49.2%
OT
20.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |