Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.6%). Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Chaput 51.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 60.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 52.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Copp
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Copp
Chaput
Last 7: Copp 4-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
3
Copp
Chaput
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
52.2% (1,168)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
42.9% (14)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
42.9% (70)
+2.4%
On power play, Copp has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
Copp
Chaput
Home
52.7% (3,561)
53.5% (602)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Copp
Chaput
P1
52.9%
48.6%
P2
51.7%
51.6%
P3
51.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |