Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Frost 56.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 81.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 50.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 68.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Copp
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Copp
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
56.0% (755)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
60.1% (173)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
88.9% (9)
-43.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Copp
Frost
Home
54.4% (441)
57.3% (497)
Away
53.4% (421)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Copp
Frost
P1
52.0%
60.2%
P2
55.8%
56.0%
P3
54.2%
54.8%
OT
20.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
60.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |