Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Dowd 48.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 95.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 84.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Copp
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Copp
Dowd
Last 8: Copp 6-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Copp
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
51.0% (671)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
0.0% (2)
+56.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
41.5% (224)
+4.3%
On power play, Copp has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Copp
Dowd
Home
54.4% (441)
48.2% (471)
Away
53.4% (421)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Copp
Dowd
P1
52.0%
48.3%
P2
55.8%
46.8%
P3
54.2%
51.0%
OT
20.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |