Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Roy 51.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 63.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Copp
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Copp
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
51.9% (547)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
54.1% (37)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
53.3% (92)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Copp
Roy
Home
54.4% (441)
54.0% (328)
Away
53.4% (421)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Copp
Roy
P1
52.0%
53.5%
P2
55.8%
51.6%
P3
54.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
60.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |