Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Greig 51.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 54.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 76.4%
Neutral zone
Greig 54.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Copp
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Copp
Greig
Last 7: Copp 2-5 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Copp
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
Copp
Greig
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Copp
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
51.9% (347)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
66.7% (24)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
44.8% (87)
+1.0%
On power play, Greig has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Copp
Greig
Home
54.4% (441)
50.4% (254)
Away
53.4% (421)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Copp
Greig
P1
52.0%
45.9%
P2
55.8%
60.1%
P3
54.2%
49.2%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |