Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.6%). Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Copp wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 55.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 63.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Copp
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Copp
Thomas
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Copp
Thomas
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
8
6
Copp
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Copp
Thomas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
51.1% (5,387)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
55.8% (927)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
50.2% (697)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Copp is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,479).
Copp shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Copp
Thomas
Home
52.7% (3,561)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Copp
Thomas
P1
52.9%
50.7%
P2
51.7%
53.0%
P3
51.4%
50.8%
OT
39.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |