Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 51.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 67.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 57.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Copp
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Copp
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Copp
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Copp
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
53.1% (113)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
100.0% (1)
-45.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
60.0% (10)
-14.5%
On power play, Carpenter has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Copp
Carpenter
Home
51.3% (667)
58.5% (65)
Away
48.3% (632)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Copp
Carpenter
P1
50.2%
65.8%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
48.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |