Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 67.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 74.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 70.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Copp
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Copp
Lorentz
Last 9: Copp 6-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
3
Copp
Lorentz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
48.9% (1,125)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
50.0% (26)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
41.8% (91)
+3.5%
On power play, Copp has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Copp
Lorentz
Home
52.7% (3,561)
50.6% (609)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Copp
Lorentz
P1
52.9%
53.0%
P2
51.7%
46.7%
P3
51.4%
46.2%
OT
39.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |