Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 50.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 63.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Copp
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Copp
Nosek
Last 10: Copp 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
1
Copp
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Copp
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Copp
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
54.9% (2,710)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
45.8% (48)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
47.2% (428)
-1.9%
On power play, Copp has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Copp
Nosek
Home
52.7% (3,561)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Copp
Nosek
P1
52.9%
52.2%
P2
51.7%
54.1%
P3
51.4%
54.7%
OT
39.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |