Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Novak 42.5% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 78.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 68.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Copp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Novak
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Copp
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
40.4% (408)
+14.0%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
45.5% (33)
+10.5%
On even strength, Copp has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Copp
Novak
Home
54.4% (441)
42.0% (212)
Away
53.4% (421)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Copp
Novak
P1
52.0%
41.9%
P2
55.8%
39.3%
P3
54.2%
42.1%
OT
20.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |