Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Kozak 47.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 53.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 53.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 50.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Copp
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Copp
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Copp
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
46.0% (137)
+5.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
66.7% (3)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
40.0% (5)
+7.6%
On power play, Kozak has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Copp
Kozak
Home
52.0% (348)
51.2% (84)
Away
49.1% (279)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Copp
Kozak
P1
48.4%
57.1%
P2
50.2%
34.7%
P3
53.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.7%
Kozak
54.0%▲
50.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |