Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Koivu 51.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ebbett 74.9%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 75.2%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 74.6%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Ebbett
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Ebbett
Koivu
Last 10: Ebbett 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
2
Ebbett
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Ebbett
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Ebbett
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
51.9% (3,221)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
59.3% (437)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
48.0% (764)
-4.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Koivu
Home
45.9% (314)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
40.8% (331)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Ebbett
Koivu
P1
48.7%
51.1%
P2
41.9%
52.6%
P3
39.7%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
38.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |