Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs McDavid 47.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 53.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 52.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Shaw
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Shaw
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
47.7% (8,394)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
52.1% (374)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.8% (281)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
Home / Away
Shaw
McDavid
Home
50.3% (1,812)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Shaw
McDavid
P1
48.5%
46.5%
P2
47.9%
48.7%
P3
48.2%
48.3%
OT
41.9%
42.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |