Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 55.3%). Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Ryan 54.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 58.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 58.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 53.6%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Shaw
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Shaw
Ryan
Last 10: Shaw 2-8 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Shaw
Ryan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
4
Shaw
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
54.9% (576)
+1.4%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
59.8% (112)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.1% (19)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Shaw is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Shaw shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Shaw
Ryan
Home
58.1% (234)
57.7% (355)
Away
50.5% (204)
52.8% (352)
By Period
Shaw
Ryan
P1
53.8%
57.9%
P2
58.3%
53.2%
P3
52.0%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |