Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Ryan 55.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 90.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 66.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 80.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Shaw
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Shaw
Ryan
Last 10: Shaw 2-8 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Shaw
Ryan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
5
Shaw
Ryan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
56.6% (4,102)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
53.2% (342)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
47.8% (649)
-5.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Shaw
Ryan
Home
50.3% (1,812)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Shaw
Ryan
P1
48.5%
55.1%
P2
47.9%
54.7%
P3
48.2%
56.0%
OT
41.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |