Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.7%). Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Hayes 47.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 72.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 57.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Shaw
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Shaw
Hayes
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
6
3
Shaw
Hayes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Shaw
Hayes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
0
Shaw
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
47.6% (6,698)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
51.7% (702)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
45.4% (696)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Home / Away
Shaw
Hayes
Home
50.3% (1,812)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Shaw
Hayes
P1
48.5%
47.5%
P2
47.9%
47.7%
P3
48.2%
47.9%
OT
41.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |