Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 49.0%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Backlund 49.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 68.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Shaw
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Shaw
Backlund
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
7
5
Shaw
Backlund
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
7
Shaw
Backlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
2
Shaw
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
49.7% (13,463)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
51.5% (1,338)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.9% (2,465)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
Shaw
Backlund
Home
50.3% (1,812)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Shaw
Backlund
P1
48.5%
48.5%
P2
47.9%
50.3%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
41.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |