Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 72.9%
Defensive zone
Kesler 63.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 64.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Shaw
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Shaw
Kesler
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
3
Shaw
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
4
Shaw
Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
7
Shaw
Kesler
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
60.7% (1,437)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
50.5% (1,908)
-8.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Shaw
Kesler
Home
50.3% (1,812)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Shaw
Kesler
P1
48.5%
56.5%
P2
47.9%
55.9%
P3
48.2%
56.1%
OT
41.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |