Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 90.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 87.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Shaw
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Shaw
Kuraly
Last 7: Shaw 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Shaw
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
56.4% (101)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Shaw
Kuraly
Home
50.3% (1,812)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Shaw
Kuraly
P1
48.5%
51.2%
P2
47.9%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
50.2%
OT
41.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |