Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Shaw
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Shaw
Monahan
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
6
Shaw
Monahan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Shaw
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
6
2
Shaw
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
51.1% (11,407)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
53.6% (2,582)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
45.9% (772)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Shaw
Monahan
Home
50.3% (1,812)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Shaw
Monahan
P1
48.5%
51.0%
P2
47.9%
51.7%
P3
48.2%
51.0%
OT
41.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |