Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.0%). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Miller 54.9% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
McDonald 59.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 69.9%
Neutral zone
McDonald 50.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
McDonald
Miller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
55.3% (6,690)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
58.0% (1,289)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
48.4% (919)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Home / Away
McDonald
Miller
Home
54.9% (297)
56.0% (4,622)
Away
56.0% (366)
53.8% (4,276)
By Period
McDonald
Miller
P1
58.5%
54.8%
P2
52.5%
55.7%
P3
54.1%
54.1%
OT
73.7%
62.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%