Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Duchene 54.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
McDonald leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 59.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 71.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.2%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
McDonald
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McDonald
Duchene
Last 10: McDonald 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
7
2
McDonald
Duchene
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
McDonald
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
54.0% (10,249)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
56.9% (1,620)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
49.3% (467)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (7,938).
Home / Away
McDonald
Duchene
Home
54.9% (297)
55.6% (6,270)
Away
56.0% (366)
52.7% (6,090)
By Period
McDonald
Duchene
P1
58.5%
54.5%
P2
52.5%
54.5%
P3
54.1%
53.4%
OT
73.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |