Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Kopitar 56.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 92.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 79.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 79.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.9%
13.1%
86.9%
Cirelli
Kopitar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Kopitar
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Kopitar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Kopitar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kopitar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kopitar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kopitar
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
56.1% (749)
-6.0%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
63.3% (215)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
51.6% (155)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopitar shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kopitar
Home
53.0% (470)
57.3% (553)
Away
45.0% (509)
56.4% (566)
By Period
Cirelli
Kopitar
P1
50.6%
56.5%
P2
49.2%
58.0%
P3
47.2%
56.1%
OT
30.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |