Anthony Cirelli vs Auston Matthews
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Matthews 58.8% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 71.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 70.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 70.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Cirelli
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cirelli
Matthews
Last 9: Cirelli 3-6 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
3
Cirelli
Matthews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Matthews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Matthews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
59.8% (848)
-9.7%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
64.9% (37)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
56.3% (87)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Matthews
Home
53.0% (470)
60.0% (520)
Away
45.0% (509)
59.3% (452)
By Period
Cirelli
Matthews
P1
50.6%
60.2%
P2
49.2%
58.2%
P3
47.2%
60.4%
OT
30.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |