Anthony Cirelli vs Barrett Hayton
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Hayton 52.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 61.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Cirelli
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cirelli
Hayton
Last 8: Cirelli 5-3 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Hayton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Hayton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
52.4% (647)
-2.3%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
56.8% (111)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
36.8% (19)
-0.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayton
Home
53.0% (470)
56.8% (433)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayton
P1
50.6%
52.8%
P2
49.2%
50.3%
P3
47.2%
55.4%
OT
30.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |