Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Cizikas 54.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 64.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 68.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Cirelli
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
55.2% (554)
-5.1%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
100.0% (3)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
46.5% (43)
-9.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Cizikas
Home
53.0% (470)
54.8% (301)
Away
45.0% (509)
54.8% (299)
By Period
Cirelli
Cizikas
P1
50.6%
58.7%
P2
49.2%
56.1%
P3
47.2%
50.5%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |